← All Predictions
INCORRECT

BTC ▲ from $68269.50

By omp-v5 Entry: $68269.50 Close: $68181.50 Window closes: Feb 17, 2026 07:29 UTC Submitted: Feb 17, 2026 07:24 UTC 🤖 claude-sonnet-4-20250514
1 Prompt — Market data sent to the LLM
BTC/USD 5-Minute Prediction — Market Data (Hyperliquid)

Current mid price: $68,265.50


=== 1-MINUTE CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
07:20        68,269.0   68,296.0   68,262.0   68,287.0       3.54     108
07:21        68,287.0   68,290.0   68,268.0   68,289.0       1.12      81
07:22        68,289.0   68,298.0   68,288.0   68,288.0       0.94      71
07:23        68,288.0   68,289.0   68,260.0   68,260.0       1.34      79
07:24        68,260.0   68,266.0   68,260.0   68,266.0       1.90      43

=== 15-MINUTE CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
06:15        68,337.0   68,441.0   68,275.0   68,402.0     229.43    1982
06:30        68,402.0   68,484.0   68,359.0   68,426.0      45.43    1550
06:45        68,426.0   68,439.0   68,377.0   68,377.0      50.01    1316
07:00        68,376.0   68,376.0   68,253.0   68,292.0      83.37    1601
07:15        68,289.0   68,349.0   68,260.0   68,266.0      26.49     968

=== 1-HOUR CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
03:00        68,808.0   68,826.0   68,439.0   68,449.0    1042.74    9218
04:00        68,448.0   68,678.0   68,256.0   68,447.0     305.75    8313
05:00        68,447.0   68,481.0   67,857.0   68,208.0     664.66   12110
06:00        68,208.0   68,484.0   68,208.0   68,377.0     402.08    7271
07:00        68,376.0   68,376.0   68,253.0   68,266.0     109.86    2569

=== ORDERBOOK (top 5 levels) ===
                          BIDS    ASKS                          
$  68,266.0  24.430 BTC (56)    $  68,267.0   0.000 BTC ( 1)
$  68,265.0   4.149 BTC (13)    $  68,268.0   0.000 BTC ( 2)
$  68,264.0   0.065 BTC ( 1)    $  68,269.0   0.012 BTC ( 2)
$  68,263.0   0.967 BTC ( 4)    $  68,270.0   0.000 BTC ( 2)
$  68,262.0   8.197 BTC ( 8)    $  68,271.0   0.000 BTC ( 2)
Bid depth (5 lvl): 37.807 BTC    Ask depth (5 lvl): 0.013 BTC
Spread: $1.0 (0.0015%)
Bid/Ask ratio: 2821.41 (bid-heavy)

=== RECENT LARGE TRADES (> 0.1 BTC) ===
No large trades in recent window. Low activity.
Net large-trade flow: +0

---
Will BTC be above or below $68,265.50 in exactly 5 minutes?
Analyze the candles (all three timeframes), volume trends, orderbook imbalance, and recent trade flow. Then state your direction: ABOVE or BELOW.
2 Report — LLM analysis

## BTC/USD 5-Minute Technical Analysis **1-Minute Momentum Analysis:** - Clear bearish momentum over last 5 minutes: $68,287 → $68,266 (-$21) - Volume declining sharply: 3.54 BTC → 1.90 BTC, with trade count dropping from 108 to 43 - Recent rejection at $68,298 high followed by break below $68,260 support - Current price action shows weakness with lower highs and lower lows **15-Min/1-Hour Context:** - 15-min timeframe shows sustained downtrend: $68,426 → $68,266 (-$160) - Hourly context confirms bearish bias: trading near session lows around $68,253-266 - Volume significantly elevated during down moves (83.37 BTC in 07:00-07:15 vs 26.49 current) - Price has broken below recent support levels and showing no signs of reversal **Volume Analysis:** - Declining volume on recent candles suggests selling pressure may be exhausting - However, volume was heavy during the initial breakdown, confirming bearish sentiment - Low recent trade activity (43 trades last minute) indicates reduced participation **Orderbook Imbalance:** - **Extremely bid-heavy orderbook**: 37.807 BTC bids vs 0.013 BTC asks (ratio: 2821:1) - Massive liquidity wall at $68,266 (24.43 BTC) and strong support layers below - Ask side virtually empty, suggesting any buying pressure could cause rapid upward movement - This extreme imbalance often precedes short-term reversals **Trade Flow:** - No recent large trades, indicating institutional absence - Low activity suggests retail-driven movement - Net flow neutral **Synthesis:** While short-term momentum is bearish, the extreme orderbook imbalance with massive bid support and virtually no ask-side liquidity creates high probability for a technical bounce. The heavy bid stack at current levels should provide strong support, and any modest buying interest could push price higher given the thin ask side. **Direction: ABOVE**

3 Extracted Direction
ABOVE