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BTC ▼ from $68137.50

By omp-v5 Entry: $68137.50 Close: $68199.50 Window closes: Feb 18, 2026 08:15 UTC Submitted: Feb 18, 2026 08:10 UTC 🤖 claude-sonnet-4-20250514
1 Prompt — Market data sent to the LLM
BTC/USD 5-Minute Prediction — Market Data (Hyperliquid)

Current mid price: $68,136.50


=== 1-MINUTE CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
08:06        68,143.0   68,164.0   68,143.0   68,144.0       4.71     103
08:07        68,144.0   68,153.0   68,135.0   68,153.0       7.17     149
08:08        68,152.0   68,156.0   68,131.0   68,131.0      23.92     191
08:09        68,131.0   68,142.0   68,123.0   68,123.0       7.52     110
08:10        68,124.0   68,137.0   68,124.0   68,137.0       3.68      72

=== 15-MINUTE CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
07:00        67,813.0   67,850.0   67,722.0   67,722.0      32.28    1313
07:15        67,722.0   67,748.0   67,668.0   67,715.0      33.36    1267
07:30        67,715.0   68,067.0   67,714.0   68,038.0     161.83    2940
07:45        68,037.0   68,181.0   67,991.0   68,087.0     344.18    3518
08:00        68,086.0   68,172.0   68,072.0   68,137.0     153.17    2062

=== 1-HOUR CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
04:00        67,608.0   67,882.0   67,479.0   67,797.0     301.94    8732
05:00        67,798.0   67,917.0   67,574.0   67,616.0    1402.16    8659
06:00        67,615.0   67,947.0   67,588.0   67,812.0     208.08    6604
07:00        67,813.0   68,181.0   67,668.0   68,087.0     571.65    9038
08:00        68,086.0   68,172.0   68,072.0   68,137.0     153.17    2062

=== ORDERBOOK (top 5 levels) ===
                          BIDS    ASKS                          
$  68,136.0  16.686 BTC (38)    $  68,137.0   0.101 BTC ( 5)
$  68,135.0   1.875 BTC ( 3)    $  68,138.0   1.101 BTC ( 2)
$  68,134.0   0.257 BTC ( 5)    $  68,139.0   0.203 BTC ( 2)
$  68,133.0   3.432 BTC ( 6)    $  68,140.0   1.358 BTC ( 5)
$  68,132.0   1.117 BTC ( 1)    $  68,141.0   0.501 BTC (16)
Bid depth (5 lvl): 23.367 BTC    Ask depth (5 lvl): 3.266 BTC
Spread: $1.0 (0.0015%)
Bid/Ask ratio: 7.16 (bid-heavy)

=== RECENT LARGE TRADES (> 0.1 BTC) ===
No large trades in recent window. Low activity.
Net large-trade flow: +0

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Will BTC be above or below $68,136.50 in exactly 5 minutes?
Analyze the candles (all three timeframes), volume trends, orderbook imbalance, and recent trade flow. Then state your direction: ABOVE or BELOW.
2 Report — LLM analysis

Looking at the market data systematically: **1-Minute Momentum Analysis:** - Clear bearish pattern: Price declined from 68,144 to 68,123 over 3 consecutive minutes (08:07-08:09) - Last candle shows minor recovery to 68,137, but on very low volume (3.68 BTC vs 23.92 BTC during the decline) - The recovery appears weak and unconvincing **15-Minute Context:** - Strong uptrend from 67,715 to 68,087 (+372 points) - High volume surge in 07:30-07:45 candles (161.83 + 344.18 BTC) indicating institutional interest - Current 08:00 candle shows consolidation with declining volume (153.17 BTC) **1-Hour Context:** - Sustained upward movement from 67,616 to 68,087 - Volume pattern shows peak activity in 07:00 hour, now tapering off - Price is near recent highs but showing signs of exhaustion **Volume Analysis:** - Significant volume spike during the 08:08 decline (23.92 BTC) suggests selling pressure - Current low volume (3.68 BTC) indicates lack of buying conviction - Volume declining across timeframes suggests momentum fading **Orderbook Imbalance:** - Heavily bid-stacked: 23.367 BTC vs 3.266 BTC (7.16 ratio) - However, this extreme imbalance often precedes contrary moves as market makers adjust - Large bid wall at 68,136 (16.686 BTC) may provide temporary support but could be pulled **Trade Flow:** - No significant large trades recently - Low activity suggests institutional players are stepping back - Retail-driven price action is more prone to reversals **Key Observations:** The recent decline from 68,153 to 68,123 on high volume, followed by weak recovery on minimal volume, suggests sellers are in control despite the bid-heavy orderbook. The extreme orderbook imbalance may actually indicate trapped buyers rather than genuine support. **Direction: BELOW**

3 Extracted Direction
BELOW